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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 01:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$9.3K$32K
Holders573+233340
Trades4.7K−304.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−8.5 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI1.7%
−1.5 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.45×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.76
+2.24×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.6K
−$5.8K
$27.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-56.2%
−134.0 pp
77.8%
Underwater %70.9%
+70.6 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.5%
−11.7 pp
70.2%
Bot %64.4%
−11.5 pp
75.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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