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Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 20:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$899−$1.6K$2.5K
Holders73−679
Trades540+43497
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.4%
−4.0 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.72
+0.92×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.66
+0.86×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$858
−$1.6K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-40.6%
−64.9 pp
24.2%
Underwater %73.5%
+58.1 pp
15.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.6%
+2.9 pp
55.7%
Bot %59.5%
+0.3 pp
59.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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