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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 15:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$7.6K$26K
Holders587+147440
Trades4.7K+1.1K3.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+0.8 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.79
+10.08×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.04
+9.34×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
−$12.8K
$23.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.04
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.2%
−131.4 pp
41.2%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.0%
−2.4 pp
33.4%
Bot %36.9%
−8.6 pp
45.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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