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Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-04 04:27 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 10, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
43¢
NO
57¢
YES
43¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9−$3$11
Holders1−12
Trades202
NO
57¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate6.1%
−77.9 pp
83.9%
Avg ROI-11.8%
−13.1 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$3
$11
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−80.0 pp
80.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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