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XRP Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 18:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$123−$314$437
Holders64+3529
Trades195+10095
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.9%
−38.0 pp
75.9%
Avg ROI3.0%
+4.1 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.15×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.08
+9.30×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$116
−$259
$375
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.09
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−120.3 pp
27.9%
Underwater %65.6%
+63.2 pp
2.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
−6.1 pp
65.4%
Bot %64.9%
−1.5 pp
66.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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