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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-06-18 20:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$8.7K$15K
Holders240−3243
Trades3.3K−3203.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+2.4 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.1%
+0.7 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−11.49×
×12.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−10.70×
×11.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.0K
+$7.7K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.0%
+145.3 pp
-91.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
+6.9 pp
69.6%
Bot %80.3%
+6.3 pp
74.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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