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Will Trump tweet 60 or more times Nov 15-22?

data as of 2024-11-18 10:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$192−$8.5K$8.7K
Holders64−109173
Trades556−17573
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.0%
−36.3 pp
68.4%
Avg ROI1.6%
+5.3 pp
-3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.51
+0.51×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.85
+0.85×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$2.2K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.07
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.6%
−44.7 pp
0.1%
Underwater %61.0%
+2.7 pp
58.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.9%
−13.5 pp
23.4%
Bot %9.9%
−13.5 pp
23.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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