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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6PM ET

data as of 2026-02-03 23:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$11K$16K
Holders122+7115
Trades3.7K+333.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.4%
+12.4 pp
41.0%
Avg ROI-2.0%
−8.3 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−39.57×
×40.16
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−38.81×
×39.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$515
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.58
−0.27
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.0%
+166.4 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.8 pp
97.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.5%
+2.8 pp
82.7%
Bot %85.5%
+2.9 pp
82.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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