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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K+$6.0K$23K
Holders359+28331
Trades5.1K−5125.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−2.4 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI0.2%
−3.6 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.26
+26.85×
×0.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×27.88
+27.46×
×0.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.1K
+$2.2K
$6.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.11
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−229.0 pp
132.7%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.8%
−2.3 pp
87.1%
Bot %80.0%
−0.9 pp
80.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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