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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 11:13 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K+$2.3K$6.7K
Holders106+4102
Trades1.2K−341.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
+2.5 pp
47.8%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.3 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−22.93×
×23.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−22.18×
×22.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
+$744
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL75.6%
+171.2 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.8%
−1.1 pp
47.9%
Bot %75.5%
−0.5 pp
76.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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