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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-20 20:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.2K+$4.8K$2.4K
Holders37−138
Trades400+44356
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
+4.2 pp
44.4%
Avg ROI-1.3%
+3.9 pp
-5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−10.96×
×11.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.57
−11.06×
×11.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
+$1.4K
$946
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL76.8%
+168.1 pp
-91.4%
Underwater %0.6%
−99.4 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %90.1%
+1.2 pp
88.9%
Bot %85.6%
+6.7 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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