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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 11:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$9.3K$10K
Holders321−23344
Trades2.0K−4672.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
+1.5 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.1 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−30.85×
×31.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−31.55×
×32.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.5K
+$9.5K
$9.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.4%
+136.3 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.7%
−98.9 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.6%
+7.5 pp
31.2%
Bot %58.9%
+3.5 pp
55.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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