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Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?

data as of 2023-11-03 19:53 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.7K−$27K$29K
Holders15+114
Trades173+29144
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.2%
+22.9 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI37.7%
+29.4 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
−0.25×
×1.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
−0.23×
×1.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$172
$172
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.0%
+17.4 pp
-21.5%
Underwater %83.9%
−7.3 pp
91.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.9%
−7.3 pp
91.1%
Bot %83.9%
−7.3 pp
91.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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