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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 13:52 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles May 12, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
11¢
DOWN
87¢
UP
11¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$7.7K$14K
Holders251−42293
Trades1.9K−2992.2K
DOWN
87¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−6.6 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−1.4 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.85
+2.08×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.92
+2.15×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
−$6.2K
$11.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.05
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.1%
−98.1 pp
31.1%
Underwater %98.4%
+97.8 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.4%
−8.8 pp
68.2%
Bot %59.4%
−11.8 pp
71.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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