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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 04:20 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$10K$13K
Holders333−151484
Trades4.5K−3204.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.4%
+18.6 pp
39.8%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−6.5 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−35.64×
×36.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−32.95×
×33.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
+$4.9K
$12.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.02
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.0%
+176.2 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.5%
−4.5 pp
74.0%
Bot %69.6%
−4.0 pp
73.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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