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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 03:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.3K+$3.8K$5.5K
Holders71−1485
Trades870+107763
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
−1.4 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI-2.4%
−2.1 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−5.67×
×6.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−4.70×
×5.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
+$1.8K
$708
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL58.1%
+139.7 pp
-81.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−95.2 pp
95.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.3%
+25.4 pp
34.0%
Bot %68.4%
+27.1 pp
41.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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