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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-06 17:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$21K$40K
Holders364+36328
Trades5.4K+4834.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.8%
−25.2 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI-0.3%
+0.2 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.01
+38.41×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.66
+29.02×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
−$22.2K
$26.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.09
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−150.5 pp
53.7%
Underwater %98.7%
+96.9 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.5%
+15.9 pp
62.5%
Bot %77.4%
+15.1 pp
62.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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