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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?

data as of 2026-06-30 03:55 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
37¢
NO
61¢
YES
37¢
YesY-NNo
Position$33−$106$139
Holders5−16
Trades19−221
NO
61¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.4%
+9.4 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI14.3%
+10.1 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.15×
×1.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.92
−0.21×
×1.12
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$46
−$168
$213
Recent buyer dominance0.55
−0.10
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.9%
+29.0 pp
-12.1%
Underwater %1.8%
−85.6 pp
87.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.8%
−0.0 pp
1.9%
Bot %0.0%
−10.6 pp
10.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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