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XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET

data as of 2025-10-18 20:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.1K−$1.3K$4.5K
Holders20−424
Trades333+25308
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−6.3 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−3.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.01×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
+0.05×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$202
−$61
$263
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.18
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.3%
−7.6 pp
10.9%
Underwater %8.8%
−40.7 pp
49.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.8%
−10.9 pp
48.8%
Bot %37.3%
−11.0 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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