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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 00:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$2.0K$11K
Holders368+94274
Trades2.8K+4432.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−0.9 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
−0.2 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.62
+46.14×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×47.15
+46.66×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.8K
+$325
$10.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−202.4 pp
104.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.3%
−0.5 pp
27.8%
Bot %54.9%
−5.2 pp
60.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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