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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 12:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$29K$38K
Holders322+32290
Trades3.7K+5903.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−24.8 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI6.5%
+6.1 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.32
+9.51×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.00
+10.15×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$323
−$17.4K
$17.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.12
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.7%
−109.8 pp
19.0%
Underwater %93.0%
+69.5 pp
23.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.1%
+10.8 pp
59.3%
Bot %70.1%
+11.0 pp
59.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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