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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 16:51 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.4K−$49K$51K
Holders193+8185
Trades1.5K−1101.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−12.8 pp
60.6%
Avg ROI5.2%
+5.3 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.89
+9.05×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.13
+10.31×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$639
−$10.3K
$10.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.09
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−113.8 pp
21.4%
Underwater %91.4%
+91.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.2%
−15.9 pp
71.1%
Bot %58.3%
−18.9 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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