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Negative GDP growth in 2025?

data as of 2026-01-15 06:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.1K−$31K$34K
Holders92+1181
Trades3.6K+1.4K2.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.0%
−31.5 pp
67.5%
Avg ROI33.1%
+29.7 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.17
+41.29×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×137.64
+136.82×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
+$90
−$50
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.3%
−128.7 pp
29.4%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.2%
+45.5 pp
19.7%
Bot %65.6%
+45.9 pp
19.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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