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Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

data as of 2026-03-16 00:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.6K−$62K$65K
Holders340+119221
Trades2.3K−802.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.5%
−41.0 pp
77.5%
Avg ROI13.2%
+8.5 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.03
+26.07×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.18
+43.22×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$211
−$4.0K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−102.2 pp
4.4%
Underwater %97.0%
+96.0 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.1%
−47.8 pp
71.9%
Bot %23.6%
−49.3 pp
72.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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