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Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $410-$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?

data as of 2026-03-20 13:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$172−$5.2K$5.4K
Holders44+143
Trades212+64148
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−35.4 pp
76.2%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−1.4 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.82
+4.86×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.70
+7.75×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$143
$144
Recent buyer dominance0.70
+0.12
0.59
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.3%
−93.8 pp
5.5%
Underwater %94.6%
+94.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.7%
+20.9 pp
4.8%
Bot %25.7%
+20.9 pp
4.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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