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Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

data as of 2025-11-23 12:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$26K−$182K$208K
Holders320+205115
Trades3.0K+7142.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
−21.8 pp
71.0%
Avg ROI7.7%
+7.4 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.93
+11.14×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.00
+10.19×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$59
−$3.2K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−115.4 pp
22.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.6%
−54.1 pp
58.7%
Bot %2.8%
−56.0 pp
58.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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