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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-06 18:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$463−$53$516
Holders7−1017
Trades42−4890
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate81.5%
+42.5 pp
39.0%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−12.6 pp
12.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−24.19×
×25.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−18.77×
×19.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$105
+$102
$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.43
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.4%
+116.3 pp
-94.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.5%
+80.0 pp
1.6%
Bot %81.5%
+80.2 pp
1.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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