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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 06:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$17K$30K
Holders303−132435
Trades3.2K+2352.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.5%
−10.1 pp
56.6%
Avg ROI5.6%
+4.0 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.09
+14.46×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.30
+14.65×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.4K
−$16.2K
$27.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.2%
−142.0 pp
48.8%
Underwater %86.4%
+77.9 pp
8.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.0%
+0.8 pp
46.2%
Bot %58.6%
−4.8 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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