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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 12:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K−$5.5K$14K
Holders376+67309
Trades1.9K+2761.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−4.2 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.0 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.30
+19.69×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.80
+18.19×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
−$1.9K
$10.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.08
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−161.0 pp
66.5%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.6%
+4.7 pp
27.9%
Bot %58.1%
+2.1 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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