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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 17:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$13K$2.1K
Holders163+21142
Trades1.4K+2381.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.0%
+21.9 pp
41.1%
Avg ROI7.1%
−0.4 pp
7.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.18
−2.16×
×6.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.17
−4.06×
×8.23
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$3.9K
$202
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.4%
+12.3 pp
-87.7%
Underwater %99.9%
+12.4 pp
87.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.8%
+14.3 pp
64.5%
Bot %82.5%
+16.8 pp
65.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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