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Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

data as of 2025-12-30 16:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$57K−$39K$96K
Holders243+39204
Trades3.9K−1.9K5.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
−3.9 pp
62.5%
Avg ROI-4.3%
−5.7 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.22
+21.52×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.15
+20.47×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$6.9K
−$6.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
+0.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−136.0 pp
41.8%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.3%
+6.4 pp
3.8%
Bot %7.6%
+4.1 pp
3.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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