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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-03 01:38 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$33K+$32K$472
Holders30−1747
Trades238−321559
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.2%
+24.0 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI2.1%
−14.7 pp
16.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.04×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−10.62×
×11.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$13
$13
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.7%
+95.2 pp
-91.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.4 pp
93.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
+21.2 pp
57.4%
Bot %78.6%
+21.4 pp
57.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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