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Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 04:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$699−$1.2K$1.9K
Holders101+3962
Trades436+90346
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.3%
−18.1 pp
57.4%
Avg ROI2.6%
+5.2 pp
-2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.51
+20.77×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.50
+20.75×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$658
−$1.2K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−132.2 pp
36.7%
Underwater %88.3%
+88.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.9%
−3.4 pp
68.2%
Bot %67.9%
−2.6 pp
70.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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