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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 18:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$25K$7.6K
Holders264−81345
Trades3.4K−3053.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+16.3 pp
35.5%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−30.4 pp
27.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−10.07×
×10.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−9.07×
×9.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.8K
+$15.7K
$7.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.5%
+122.1 pp
-88.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−81.5 pp
81.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.6%
+7.7 pp
75.0%
Bot %82.3%
+5.8 pp
76.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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