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Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 2?

data as of 2026-03-01 20:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$542−$7.9K$8.4K
Holders86−32118
Trades619+41578
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−36.6 pp
76.7%
Avg ROI7.7%
+6.8 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.24
+3.34×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.29
+3.39×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$34
$37
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.26
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.0%
−89.0 pp
12.0%
Underwater %93.3%
+93.1 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.6%
−2.1 pp
18.7%
Bot %8.9%
−8.8 pp
17.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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