Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 06:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$9.3K$8.0K
Holders354+19335
Trades2.4K−1422.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
+1.2 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−0.8 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−7.54×
×8.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−7.32×
×7.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.6K
+$7.2K
$7.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.1%
+138.7 pp
-87.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.6%
+4.8 pp
31.8%
Bot %49.2%
+6.8 pp
42.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse