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Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-03 05:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$20K−$178K$198K
Holders751+361390
Trades13K+5.8K6.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.2%
−44.5 pp
76.7%
Avg ROI15.5%
+13.8 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.64
+10.71×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.51
+11.58×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$480
$483
Recent buyer dominance0.70
−0.05
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−100.5 pp
7.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.2%
−30.9 pp
52.1%
Bot %21.8%
−33.4 pp
55.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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