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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-01 10:16 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K+$9.6K$780
Holders14+86
Trades70+1852
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate94.2%
+31.0 pp
63.2%
Avg ROI1.2%
+17.7 pp
-16.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.43
+0.56×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.42
+0.57×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$165
+$45
$120
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-29.8%
−46.7 pp
16.9%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.8%
−92.9 pp
95.7%
Bot %2.7%
−93.0 pp
95.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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