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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 22:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$22K$8.7K
Holders375−138513
Trades2.4K−6593.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+6.2 pp
46.6%
Avg ROI1.6%
−2.5 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.90
−16.08×
×16.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−23.72×
×24.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.0K
+$18.7K
$8.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.5%
+110.7 pp
-95.1%
Underwater %3.0%
−94.0 pp
97.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.5%
+7.3 pp
18.2%
Bot %49.5%
+10.7 pp
38.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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