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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 10:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$48K$60K
Holders397+60337
Trades4.6K+4834.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−16.6 pp
64.1%
Avg ROI2.1%
+0.7 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.38
+12.65×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.65
+12.89×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
−$11.9K
$15.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−128.6 pp
35.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.2%
−5.7 pp
77.9%
Bot %71.8%
−5.9 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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