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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1PM ET

data as of 2025-07-31 17:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$14K$16K
Holders44044
Trades299−126425
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−12.2 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI9.7%
+7.9 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.84
+20.06×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.00
+23.19×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$1.7K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−116.4 pp
20.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+98.6 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.0%
−23.3 pp
51.2%
Bot %28.0%
−20.8 pp
48.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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