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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-03 16:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$484−$21K$21K
Holders93−64157
Trades1.8K+845969
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.2%
−39.6 pp
74.8%
Avg ROI27.4%
+26.9 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.01
+2.02×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.52
+3.54×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$64
−$65
Recent buyer dominance0.07
−0.42
0.49
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.7%
−78.2 pp
2.5%
Underwater %95.5%
+93.4 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.3%
−2.2 pp
12.5%
Bot %11.1%
−0.2 pp
11.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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