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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 09:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$2.4K$15K
Holders437+98339
Trades2.3K−3592.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+7.5 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI1.4%
−4.7 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−46.84×
×47.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−45.61×
×46.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
+$2.5K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.2%
+167.9 pp
-97.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.2 pp
93.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.1%
−8.4 pp
40.5%
Bot %55.6%
−0.5 pp
56.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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