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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?

data as of 2026-06-04 22:56 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K+$667$1.9K
Holders105−22127
Trades625+136489
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
−3.4 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI5.2%
−1.9 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.44
−50.85×
×51.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−42.15×
×42.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$294
+$286
$7
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.09
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL96.8%
+194.6 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.2 pp
98.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.7%
−8.6 pp
24.3%
Bot %21.4%
−9.0 pp
30.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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