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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 18?

data as of 2026-05-18 00:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$614−$1.5K$2.1K
Holders90−19109
Trades361+49312
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.5%
−19.6 pp
66.1%
Avg ROI9.2%
+6.3 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−0.58×
×1.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−0.67×
×1.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$0
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.52
+0.02
0.50
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.7%
+84.6 pp
-17.8%
Underwater %1.5%
−90.7 pp
92.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.9%
−3.1 pp
15.0%
Bot %11.9%
−3.0 pp
14.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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