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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 20:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$27K$48K
Holders392−67459
Trades5.1K−2525.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−4.1 pp
53.8%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.9 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.50
+23.97×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.78
+24.27×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
−$13.2K
$19.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.09
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−188.2 pp
92.3%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.4%
+4.1 pp
80.3%
Bot %79.4%
+5.7 pp
73.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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