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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$1.7K$17K
Holders320+23297
Trades2.4K+332.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−1.7 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI9.9%
+8.4 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−10.99×
×11.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−10.69×
×11.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.3K
−$2.5K
$16.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL102.1%
+192.8 pp
-90.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.3%
−5.6 pp
47.9%
Bot %48.2%
−10.4 pp
58.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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