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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-03-08 05:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$15K$39K
Holders445+144301
Trades5.1K−1955.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−6.1 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI4.9%
+3.1 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.38
+24.91×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.76
+25.26×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.3K
−$4.9K
$25.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−188.0 pp
92.4%
Underwater %95.4%
+95.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.8%
−3.8 pp
74.6%
Bot %71.5%
+9.1 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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