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Will Elon tweet 200-209 times April 4 - 11?

data as of 2025-04-11 13:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$28K$29K
Holders87−20107
Trades1.7K+2591.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−20.6 pp
68.8%
Avg ROI6.4%
+6.4 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.33
+5.37×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.43
+4.47×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$145
$146
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.23
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.5%
−83.8 pp
4.2%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.7%
−77.5 pp
91.3%
Bot %11.9%
−79.4 pp
91.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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