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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-19 01:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$5.7K$11K
Holders165+43122
Trades2.0K+2601.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−6.7 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.7 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.81
+33.15×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.38
+28.69×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$2.3K
$4.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.03
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−140.6 pp
44.1%
Underwater %93.6%
+93.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.9%
−4.5 pp
64.4%
Bot %77.6%
−4.0 pp
81.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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